Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.085167 0.098435 0.113080 0.130445 0.150474 0.172858 0.199779
2025-12-28 0.066341 0.084727 0.107101 0.136336 0.173547 0.219362 0.280124
2026-01-04 0.055404 0.075893 0.102593 0.139939 0.190873 0.257993 0.353333
2026-01-11 0.047849 0.069395 0.099080 0.142976 0.206307 0.294513 0.427013
2026-01-18 0.041702 0.063544 0.095125 0.144125 0.218350 0.326802 0.497799
2026-01-25 0.036147 0.057570 0.089911 0.142296 0.225183 0.351592 0.559730
2026-02-01 0.031054 0.051496 0.083594 0.137673 0.226712 0.367920 0.609809
2026-02-08 0.028263 0.048654 0.081859 0.139876 0.238984 0.401952 0.691535
2026-02-15 0.025605 0.045646 0.079414 0.140458 0.248393 0.431986 0.769598
2026-02-22 0.023541 0.043373 0.077879 0.142291 0.259940 0.466539 0.858931
2026-03-01 0.021038 0.039992 0.073990 0.139419 0.262662 0.485735 0.922611
2026-03-08 0.018981 0.037175 0.070770 0.137330 0.266443 0.506977 0.992034
2026-03-15 0.017587 0.035483 0.069502 0.138880 0.277461 0.543165 1.094834
2026-03-22 0.016889 0.035075 0.070632 0.145222 0.298519 0.600779 1.246416
2026-03-29 0.015971 0.034106 0.070536 0.149061 0.314931 0.650902 1.388422
2026-04-05 0.015077 0.033074 0.070184 0.152295 0.330392 0.700614 1.535022
2026-04-12 0.014080 0.031699 0.068960 0.153519 0.341678 0.742761 1.670058
2026-04-19 0.012908 0.029802 0.066416 0.151571 0.345812 0.770055 1.775433
2026-04-26 0.011622 0.027496 0.062728 0.146647 0.342733 0.781240 1.845660
2026-05-03 0.011010 0.026676 0.062257 0.148994 0.356463 0.831196 2.010738
2026-05-10 0.010328 0.025609 0.061107 0.149614 0.366195 0.872975 2.161060
2026-05-17 0.009792 0.024833 0.060546 0.151566 0.379293 0.923865 2.338945
2026-05-24 0.008993 0.023313 0.058051 0.148507 0.379775 0.944689 2.444674